COVID UK and NO DEAL BREXIT – two problems, one common cause
Covid UK
We face a coronavirus pandemic with a Government focused on political
targets rather than the outcome we need. It’s clear that
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The Government wanted at all costs to avoid damaging headlines of an overwhelmed
NHS, but were not focused on minimising deaths (they weren’t even measuring overall
deaths)
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The testing targets have always been about the headline number of tests “done”
(or sent out), rather than on what tests were needed
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Since the tracing app has so far failed, the Government aimed for an arbitrary
target around quantity (number of tracers) rather than quality (people trained
and supervised. to do the job that was needed
This is explored further in these links
If you aim for
political targets that are not in themselves beneficial then you will take the
wrong decisions.
Brexit
That sentence above
applies to Covid and to Brexit. The original Leave campaign dangled illusory
and contradictory and in some cases insubstantial targets such as “Take Back Control”
and more recently “Get Brexit done”
Now anyone who has
tackled lesson 1 in Commercial Programme Management understands that a business
change is “done” when the projects are completed and the business is
successfully operating to the new arrangements.
Is Brexit “Done”?
If you wanted to move house and by 31st January you had signed a
contract to sell your existing home but had no idea where you were moving to,
would you say you had “Got House Move Done”? Oh, you signed a contract, sure,
and set in motion a ticking clock taking you ruthlessly towards the point that your
short-sightedness would become much more apparent, assuming that you still want
somewhere to live in 2021. But there is nothing to celebrate in the fact that
you decisively burned your boats; any fool can do that.
So there is the
common factor – a lack of business experience and commercial rigour at the
heart of government, coupled with an unwillingness to learn– that is why we
have meaningless political targets, not targets that benefit the population.
Without fixing
that, we will not achieve any Brexit that is anything other than disastrous,
not in 7 months, not in 77 months
What is needed?
Now you may imagine
that this problem is not new – that politicians always set political targets.
In its current form
the problem is new, for two reasons.
I have seen the impact
of politicians and Civil Servants working together. Part of the Civil Service
role is to apply some rigour . to whatever beneficial outcome the Government
wants. What are the two problems with this now:
1.
There are not any beneficial outcomes
with Brexit, particularly not with No Deal, and so morale in the Civil Service
degrades to “we’ll do what you ask, even though…” I heard a Civil Servant at a “Christians
in Politics” meeting make an impassioned plea (there was a Government junior
Minister present) for a return to the day when evidence mattered.
2.
Dominic Cummings role is partly to
neutralise the Civil Service, to quieten the voice of reason, in the name of “getting
things done”. It’s interesting that even Cummings doesn’t see his role as
extending into 2021 and achieving any of the benefits of Brexit that one might
expect Brexiteers to look forward to; once he had brought about a NoDeal and
done the damage and the disaster capitalists can bank their profits and enjoy
the fire sale of UK businesses and the NHS, Dom’s job is done. At that point,
we can assume that Brexit will be “done”, and the fact of that belief demonstrates
that there are no benefits to Brexit – if there were, Brexit would not be “done”
until those benefits were achieved.
One crumb of hope
CummingsGate has exposed
Cummings’ deceitful and elitist character, to enormous disapproval of the
public and of MPs of all Parties, and Cummings should be sacked in June.
This has also exposed
the hypocrisy of the senior Cabinet Ministers, and crucially has exposed it to
all the Tory backbench MPs.
Dennis Skinner was
once reprimanded for saying “Half the members opposite are crooks” and was told
to take it back. He agreed, and declared “Half the members opposite are not
crooks”.
We need Tory MPs to see clearly through the emperor’s clothes. If we can work with them – half of them would do - , we could at least have a new Government. And then, at least, fewer of us would die.
We need Tory MPs to see clearly through the emperor’s clothes. If we can work with them – half of them would do - , we could at least have a new Government. And then, at least, fewer of us would die.
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